ESPN and RotoWorld Park Factors
posted by Jon Williams
Recently Aaron Gleeman, a writer and analyst whose work I enjoy and respect, posted an article that ranked the Major League Baseball Park Factors. It was a bit unusual. It does not match ESPN's, at all. I have no idea what either site did to calculate their version and I'm really not interested in doing it myself. I like using and looking at the numbers --not crunching them. My gut says to go with ESPN's since they fit my subjective sense of the rankings. But that isn't very logical. So, what to do...
Also interesting is this SeamHeads.com article that attempts to find truer park factors. It comes with a link to an excel file of more than 50 years of data that I haven't made much sense of yet.
Roto World:
Boston Red Sox – 108
Colorado Rockies – 107
Arizona Diamondbacks – 107
Chicago Cubs – 106
Chicago White Sox – 105
Cincinnati Reds – 104
Philadelphia Phillies – 103
Baltimore Orioles – 103
Tampa Bay Rays – 103
Cleveland Indians – 103
Los Angeles Angels – 103
Detroit Tigers – 102
San Francisco Giants – 102
Texas Rangers – 101
Washington Nationals – 101
Los Angeles Dodgers – 100
Milwaukee Brewers – 100
Houston Astros – 99
Toronto Blue Jays – 99
Florida Marlins – 99
Atlanta Braves – 99
St. Louis Cardinals – 99
Kansas City Royals – 97
Seattle Mariners – 96
Pittsburgh Pirates – 95
Minnesota Twins – 93
Oakland A's – 93
San Diego Padres – 89
And then ESPN's
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Also interesting is this SeamHeads.com article that attempts to find truer park factors. It comes with a link to an excel file of more than 50 years of data that I haven't made much sense of yet.
Roto World:
Boston Red Sox – 108
Colorado Rockies – 107
Arizona Diamondbacks – 107
Chicago Cubs – 106
Chicago White Sox – 105
Cincinnati Reds – 104
Philadelphia Phillies – 103
Baltimore Orioles – 103
Tampa Bay Rays – 103
Cleveland Indians – 103
Los Angeles Angels – 103
Detroit Tigers – 102
San Francisco Giants – 102
Texas Rangers – 101
Washington Nationals – 101
Los Angeles Dodgers – 100
Milwaukee Brewers – 100
Houston Astros – 99
Toronto Blue Jays – 99
Florida Marlins – 99
Atlanta Braves – 99
St. Louis Cardinals – 99
Kansas City Royals – 97
Seattle Mariners – 96
Pittsburgh Pirates – 95
Minnesota Twins – 93
Oakland A's – 93
San Diego Padres – 89
And then ESPN's
| Rk | Park Name | Runs | HR | H | 2B | 3B | BB |
| 1 | Rangers Ballpark (Arlington, Texas) | 1.142 | 1.229 | 1.070 | 1.042 | 2.227 | 1.030 |
| 2 | Chase Field (Phoenix, Arizona) | 1.135 | 1.068 | 1.072 | 1.242 | 1.406 | 0.955 |
| 3 | Coors Field (Denver, Colorado) | 1.126 | 1.299 | 1.098 | 1.048 | 1.387 | 0.919 |
| 4 | U.S. Cellular Field (Chicago, Illinois) | 1.122 | 1.353 | 0.974 | 0.907 | 0.564 | 1.087 |
| 5 | Fenway Park (Boston, Massachusetts) | 1.077 | 0.850 | 1.056 | 1.589 | 1.000 | 1.095 |
| 6 | Comerica Park (Detroit, Michigan) | 1.077 | 1.188 | 1.074 | 0.972 | 1.114 | 0.877 |
| 7 | Great American (Cincinnati, Ohio) | 1.069 | 1.230 | 1.010 | 1.017 | 1.038 | 1.013 |
| 8 | Wrigley Field (Chicago, Illinois) | 1.068 | 1.163 | 1.032 | 0.975 | 0.658 | 0.939 |
| 9 | Turner Field (Atlanta, Georgia) | 1.063 | 1.014 | 1.068 | 1.028 | 1.206 | 1.109 |
| 10 | Camden Yards (Baltimore, Maryland) | 1.051 | 1.359 | 1.044 | 0.989 | 0.566 | 0.948 |
| Rk | Park Name | Runs | HR | H | 2B | 3B | BB |
| 11 | AT&T Park (San Francisco, California) | 1.045 | 0.992 | 1.014 | 1.132 | 1.875 | 1.029 |
| 12 | Yankee Stadium (Bronx, New York) | 1.040 | 0.982 | 0.980 | 0.997 | 1.045 | 1.000 |
| 13 | Nationals Park (Washington, D.C.) | 1.038 | 0.942 | 1.014 | 1.013 | 1.101 | 1.009 |
| 14 | Minute Maid Park (Houston, Texas) | 1.036 | 1.155 | 1.012 | 1.102 | 0.908 | 1.002 |
| 15 | Citizens Bank Park (Philadelphia, Pennsylvania) | 1.029 | 1.022 | 1.036 | 0.957 | 0.743 | 0.991 |
| 16 | Angel Stadium (Anaheim, California) | 1.017 | 0.933 | 1.028 | 0.993 | 0.828 | 0.807 |
| 17 | Progressive Field (Cleveland, Ohio) | 0.995 | 0.824 | 1.020 | 1.016 | 0.654 | 1.187 |
| 18 | Rogers Centre (Toronto, Ontario) | 0.959 | 0.926 | 0.981 | 1.086 | 1.864 | 1.102 |
| 19 | Tropicana Field (St. Petersburg, Florida) | 0.955 | 0.850 | 0.934 | 0.813 | 1.226 | 1.043 |
| 20 | Dolphin Stadium (Miami, Florida) | 0.954 | 0.844 | 0.946 | 0.926 | 1.481 | 1.025 |
| Rk | Park Name | Runs | HR | H | 2B | 3B | BB |
| 21 | Shea Stadium (Flushing, New York) | 0.946 | 1.081 | 0.926 | 0.935 | 0.500 | 1.088 |
| 22 | Miller Park (Milwaukee, Wisconsin) | 0.945 | 0.893 | 0.963 | 0.857 | 1.375 | 1.130 |
| 23 | Busch Stadium (St. Louis, Missouri) | 0.943 | 0.915 | 0.962 | 0.868 | 1.000 | 0.969 |
| 24 | Safeco Field (Seattle, Washington) | 0.932 | 0.900 | 0.992 | 0.921 | 1.222 | 1.021 |
| 25 | Kauffman Stadium (Kansas City, Missouri) | 0.929 | 0.788 | 1.003 | 1.097 | 0.816 | 0.980 |
| 26 | McAfee Coliseum (Oakland, California) | 0.916 | 0.988 | 0.960 | 0.953 | 0.536 | 0.974 |
| 27 | PNC Park (Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania) | 0.898 | 0.869 | 1.024 | 1.064 | 0.929 | 0.977 |
| 28 | Metrodome (Minneapolis, Minnesota) | 0.887 | 0.896 | 0.941 | 0.989 | 0.960 | 0.844 |
| 29 | Dodger Stadium (Los Angeles, California) | 0.842 | 0.857 | 0.892 | 0.866 | 0.425 | 0.891 |
| 30 | Petco Park (San Diego, California) | 0.796 | 0.743 | 0.896 | 0.780 | 0.931 | 1.024 |
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3 Comments:
I noticed this, too.
There's also a significant disparity between ESPN's G/F rates and what's over at Fangraphs. Then I noticed that the 2007 G/F rates disappeared for Kevin Slowey.
I can't help wondering if they're doing some site maintenance and that's causing a hiccup in the Matrix.
Hmmm, perhaps they use different stat sources. Still hard to believe the differences could be this large.
Very useful. I can definitely use this information - even if it all doesn't add up.
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