Wednesday, July 22, 2009

Reader Advice: Is Miguel Montero Really Wally-Pipping Chris Snyder?

posted by Jon Williams
Miguel Montero has been really hot lately (4HR and .406 in last 8 games ... 32AB). He's available in my 10 team H2H keeper league that uses OBP instead of Avg. He's certainly been better than my Chris Ianetta (1HR, .267 in last 9 games).
  1. Is Montero for real?
  2. What happens when Chris Snyder returns?
  3. Who should I drop?
My Roster:

C=Ianetta

1B/CI/3B=Fielder, Berkman, Mig.Cabrera

2B/MI/SS=Utley, Kinsler, Hardy

LF/CF/RF/OF/OF=Bay, Sizemore, N.Cruz, Crawford, Victorino

Util=Thome

SP(4)=Johan, Josh Johnson, Vazquez, Kuroda

P(3)=Jer.Weaver, Edw.Jackson, Lester

RP(4)=Fuentes, Soria, Qualls, Lidge

Bench= Theriot, Hart, Ludwick, S.Baker, Valverde, Wuertz

DL=Webb, T.Hudson, Kuo, K.Johnson, Beltre

Thanks in advance!

Big Mike
Hey Mike,

1. I like Montero, I always have. He's 26-years old and has previously demonstrated the ability to be a strong hitter at the catcher position. His walk and strikeout rates are consistent with his previous skill levels. He has begun to hit more groundballs and fewer fly balls which explains his higher batting average. Groundballs fall for hits more often than fly balls. His power is about the same as always thanks to a career-high HR/FB ratio (nothing outrageous just a few points higher than usual). He's for real. In a full-time role I would expect him to hit around .270-.275 with 10-12 home runs.

2. The D'Backs have always preferred to split their catcher at-bats with Montero receiving about a third of them. Chris Snyder is out with a back injury. Back injuries always have to be taken very seriously especially when playing such a physically demanding position. I can see the team using a more even 50/50 split when Snyder returns. Though any player who can return from fractured testicles has to get the benefit of the doubt when his toughness is in question. Both players are similar defensively (by RF/9) over the last couple of seasons so their production with the bat is more important than it would be if one were significantly better than the other. Montero seems clearly the more skilled hitter in my opinion Snyder takes more walks but strikes out more often and has less power.

3. I would drop Mike Wuertz. With your collection of closers he is very unnecessary.

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5 Comments:

Blogger Brent said...

I face the same dilemma. Iannetta is infuriating to own and Montero is lounging on the waiver wire. I'm in a league with a very thin bench and can't afford to drop any of my other guys. If you had to choose between the two, who do you like from here on out? Thanks.

Thursday, July 23, 2009 at 10:09:00 AM EDT  
Blogger Jon Williams said...

I would go with Montero, especially in a re-draft league. In a keeper league the decision is a little tougher but I would still give the edge to Montero in 2009 over Ianetta getting it together at some point in the future.

Thursday, July 23, 2009 at 6:20:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Brent said...

Thanks Jon. Really appreciate the site.

Thursday, July 23, 2009 at 11:52:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Elliot said...

I picked up Montero last week and benched Weiters. You gotta go with what works, and right now, Monty is working for me. We'll see if Weiters ever turns it on.

Monday, July 27, 2009 at 7:44:00 PM EDT  
OpenID corthefloor said...

I don't think you should worry with 6 players that were taken in the 1st or 2nd round in pretty much any fantasy league.

Wednesday, July 29, 2009 at 5:33:00 AM EDT  

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